Sweden tops OECD nations likely to stamp out smoking in 5 decades
Stockholm, Sweden (AHN) – Sweden tops the list of 18 members of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development that could stamp out smoking in the next 50 years. According to a study by Citi Investment, there will likely be no smokers in Sweden by 2028.
The forecast is based on the fact that Sweden has the smallest percentage of smokers in the 18-member OECD, at 15 percent.
Sweden is followed by Australia, whose 17 percent of smoking residents would probably end the vice by 2030, and Iceland, which has 16 percent of its population who light up, by 2033.
The percentage of other nation’s population who smoke and Citi’s forecast of the end of smoking within the next 5 decades are:
- Canada, 18 percent — 2040
- United Kingdom, 21 percent — 2040
- Norway, 21 percent — 2042
- United States, 21 percent — 2046
- Netherlands, 28 percent — 2048
- Belgium, 20 percent — 2051
- Japan, 24 percent — 2054
- New Zealand, 18 percent — 2058
Worst case scenarios are painted for Greece, which has 40 percent of its population as smokers and is forecast to stamp out smoking by 2231, and Germany, despite having only a 23 percent population of smokers, may end up as the last to lick the habit by 2280.
The study pointed out that in many OECD nations smoking has been declining since the 1960s when almost half of the population lit up and after residents became more aware of the ill health effects of nicotine on their body. It also helped that public smoking has been banned in many countries.
Because of the long-term impact of the zero smoking campaign on OECD nations – which are major markets for tobacco firms – Citigroup downgraded its ratings on Imperial Tobacco, British American Tobacco and Philip Morris to “hold” from “buy.”
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